Scenario Lab · Hypothetical
What if inflation remains at 6% for five years?
Hold CPI at 6% and contrast with a 4% target-consistent path.
Scenario only. Not a forecast.
Starting value
6.0%
Default rate
0% / yr
Horizon
5 years
Scenario vs baseline
Baseline end
6.0%
Scenario end
6.0%
Difference
0.0%
Midpoint (2029)
6.0%
| Year | Scenario | Baseline |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| 2027 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| 2028 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| 2029 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| 2030 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| 2031 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
Assumptions
- No mean reversion
- Real rates and growth held outside the model
Formula / methodology
Level path: V_t = 6 for all t
Source metric: India Inflation
Limitations: illustrative arithmetic only; FX, policy response, and structural breaks are out of scope.